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Comparison between Manitoba and South Dakota shows dramatic impact of Physical Distancing

Manitoba implemented physical distancing measures in mid-March.  South Dakota has still not made physical distancing mandatory.   The result is a dramatic difference in the incidence of covid-19 viral infections between the two jurisdictions.   This graph shows the number of people with Covid-19 infections from March 27 to April 14.  Manitoba (red line) started leveling off about April 4 and has seen only a small increase in Covid-19 infections since then.   South Dakota (blue line) has seen a dramatic increase in Covid-19 infections since April 4.  Those who are skeptical of the impact of physical distancing in Manitoba should look at this graph!



Data are from the Johns Hopkins daily tabulations

Comments

  1. Who's winning here? Does it matter how many people get a mild version of COVID-19? What really matters is deaths. Manitoba currently has a 2% death rate from COVID-19. South Dakota has a death rate of 0.5%. Manitoba residents are dying at 4x the rate of South Dakota. I wouldn't say that Manitoba is ahead right now.

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    1. Wow. What a shortsighted thing to say

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    2. Manitoba's death rate is only as high as it is because the amount of people affected is not as astronomical as other places. As of today, South Dakota's tally stands at 1,311 positive cases, 931 cases that are actively being searched, and 7 deaths (with 55 hospitalizations). In Manitoba, there are 246 cases of COVID-19, with only 5 deaths and 9 hospitalizations.

      What really matters here, Melissa, is not death: it's prevention. If Manitoba's measures keep the number below 1000, then we don't run the risk of having 1000 people dead. The death toll in South Dakota will rise with no physical distancing measures. The global mortality rate of closed COVID-19 cases is 21%. 21% of 300 is 63 (which is still too many people dead). 21% of 1500 (which South Dakota will certainly reach in a day or two) is 315.

      It matters how many people catch any variation of the virus because it can and will kill. If the death toll doesn't rise in South Dakota, then praise God, but if it does, they will only have themselves to blame. Please don't think that just because you won't end up dead doesn't mean everyone else won't. Your short-sightedness is the reason why people are dying.

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    3. Without knowing the testing numbers and the positive rates the comparison isn't necessarily valid. If the higher case number is due to much more random testing then the death rate will be naturally lower anyway.

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    4. Manitoba has a level 4 virology lab that specializes in pandemics. Put your money on the world experts.

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  3. I live in Sioux Falls, SD. No—we’re not idiots and we’re doing really well with social distancing. Our numbers are so high because of a meat packing plant that put no restrictions in place, and even paid their employees (mostly immigrants) a $500 bonus if they didn’t miss any days of work due to illness. Many of these people live in households with numerous people and no place to quarantine. I feel really sorry for them☹️

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    1. Jgd, your comment is valid. It's a pork processing plant in Sioux Falls. The same potential exist in Manitoba as well. There is the Maple Leaf plant in Brandon Manitoba, https://hylife.com/covid-19-a-message-from-our-ceo/ and the Hylife plant in Neepawa, https://www.mapleleaffoods.com/news/maple-leaf-foods-statement-on-operational-status-during-covid-19-pandemic/ . My fingers are crossed.

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